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in the pessimistic market sentiment nike air max 90 hyperfuse canada , large-cap IT stocks appear to be unduly battered now. It has been a year since the dark clouds around the Indian information technology (IT) industry have been squaring in, and the storm in the form of a US slowdown appears to be knocking at the doors. Last fiscal, the rupee appreciated nearly 12 per cent. Next fiscal, software companies, which have their facilities located in software technology parks or outside special economic zones (SEZs), will be brought under the tax net ? a biting on net margins. As if this were not enough, the US is facing a slowdown, which many perceive may turn into a recession. Not surprisingly, many investors have already reduced their exposure to IT stocks, and valuations of software companies are close to the lower-end of their historical price-earnings multiples. Although it appears rational to expect IT budget cuts and a slowdown in Indian IT-companies' order flows, there is a strong view from the other side of the argument. Fortunately, the trend emerging from the guidance of global IT companies supports the more optimistic argument that a slowdown will prompt greater outsourcing nike air max 90 floral print , and in turn, higher volumes for large software companies. Examples include good results in technology consulting by Accenture, strong international growth guidance by IBM and Cognizant for 2008 of achieving 'at least 38 per cent' revenue growth. All these signs, put together, hint at a lesser than estimated fundamental deterioration of the sector. According to a Forrester Research market sizing forecast titled ?Global IT 2008 Market Outlook?, the US market is likely to be the laggard in the purchase of IT goods and services in 2008, while the Asia-Pacific will be the pacesetter. Forrester estimates the global IT purchases to equal $ 1.7 trillion in 2008, growing by 6 per cent, after a 12 per cent increase in 2007. Of this spending, nearly $380 billion is likely to go toward purchases of software products and services ? an area where Indian IT companies are strong. The growth in budgets for software products is pegged at 8 per cent for 2008, down slightly from 11 per cent in 2007. The decline of the dollar is factored in, in these forecasts. Forrester expects Asia-Pacific nike air max 90 essential womens , and the oil exporting area of Eastern Europe, Middle East, and Africa to be the main engines of growth in IT purchases this year. In a more recent report titled ?European IT 2008 market outlook?, Forrester suggests that the European IT market will grow faster than its US counterpart, with stronger investments in software than purchases of computer and communications equipment. The European IT spends is likely to grow 3.5 per cent in euro terms in 2008 ? higher than the US growth of 2.8 per cent in dollars. Measured in dollars, this growth will be amplified further. Now, going by the logic spelled out by economists, analysts, and company managements alike, a slowdown in the US would translate into the need to cut costs. This in turn, will fuel outsourcing, which will rather benefit the Indian software players than causing a negative impact. Therefore nike air max 90 essential mens , even though there may be a slowdown in overall IT spending, large Indian IT companies may not lose too much of ground, given their dominant positions in the market as well as their global presence. Outsource IT? ?The secular offshoring trend remains intact, although there could be some challenging times in the short-term on account of the US slowdown,? says Atul Penkar, an IT fund manager at Birla Sun Life. ?However, business is likely to pick up in the medium- to long-term as cost pressures on US companies lead to more offshoring,? he adds. Analysts sound unanimous about the volume growth holding steady in the coming year for Indian IT majors. This is likely for one more reason that the Indian software companies have a proven execution model for managing costs competitively, which will come handy for the US clients during a recession. Besides, to counter the cost pressures, most Indian software outfits have managed price-hikes in the range of 5-7 per cent for new contracts and 1-3 per cent for renewals, over the past year due to dollar depreciation. The only risk that may now hold is that of a freeze on pricing going forward. Value picks Among the Indian IT pack nike air max 90 essential canada , it is mainly the large-cap companies, which can boast of a diverse global presence and a varied client mix, which could help them weather any slowdown in demand for IT services. Thus, Infosys, Tata Consultancy Serviidance going forward. However, except for TCS, no other company has mentioned any budget cut or revenue loss from their clients so far. Indications of further worsening, if any and which is not yet discounted in the share price nike air max 90 pink womens , will perhaps be visible in the fourth quarter results of software companies by early next month. On the banking and financial services front, there
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